Opening 100 Stash Boxes - Probabilities

#1

Hello forum!
I opened 100 stash boxes and tracked all items (will expand to more boxes once I get more currency).
---------------Total----------------------
Blue - 690 / 1200 (57.3%)
Purple - 380 / 1200 (32.3%%)
Pink - 117 / 1200 (9.7%)
Red - 16 / 1200 (1.3%)
Yellow - 1 / 1200 (0.01%)

In total of 300 items I got:
-----------------1.11 Patch------------------------------
333 / 600 Blue (55.5%)
190 / 600 Purple (31.6%)
62 / 600 Pink (10.3%)
15 / 600 Red (2.5%)
0 / 600 Yellow (?)
-----------------1.10 Patch------------------------------
175 / 300 Blue Items (58.8%)
94 / 300 Purple (31.3%)
25 / 300 Pink (8.3%)
5 / 300 Red (1.6%)
1 / 300 Yellow (0.3%)

PandoraGamezz finding’s
Blue - 182/300 (60.7%)
Purple - 85/300 (28.3%)
Pink - 30/300 (10%)
Red - 2/300 (0.7%)
Yellow 0/300 (0%)

I got one Knife from the Red chest and no Bounty Skull from predator by the way.

Edit:
I intend to test out damage etc from different weapons on different predators however this will take some times since it’s a lot to test.
I will make a seperate post and/or spreadsheet in the future.

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#2

Wow, thanks for the heads up. I LITERALLY just stacked 100,000 V just for field lockers in hopes of finally getting a trophy or something i cant already purchase with V. Been playing since beta have yet to get anything noteworthy

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#3

In case you open your 200 cases, mind sending me the data or posting it here so we can expand on this?

#4

i’m going to open 400 box when i’m level 150 XD

#5

hmm, may need more than 100 loot boxes to get a better understanding of the possibility of each of the items. But we can try and expand on this

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#6

I just had 100 boxes at the moment. I’m goign to expand as soon as I have another considerable amount.
Maybe we can pool together?

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#7

Yeah sure, I currently building up mine

#8

I recorded a 50 draw and I’m saving to 100000V

#9

Very good data collection and post! I really appreciate it.

I am aware that some items are only aquired via the Field Lockers but here’s how I am “operating”:

1- I direct buy the skins/items I really want and will be doing it until I aquire all those I truly want
2 - Once I get all I really want, then I will spend them in the Field Lockers and try my luck for rare items

It might sound “dumb” for most of you, but at least for myself, I feel like I spent the Veritanium in stuff I wanted first of all, then whatsoever comes out of luck by opening the Field Lockers (even duplicates) is a “gain” in my mind :D

#10

That’s what I did too. I spent like 50k V on the gear I wanted and now I use the rest for research purposes.

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#11

I usually open 100 crates every 2 days or so. No predator trophies. Waiting for a patch to fix it. Rolling dupes for an hour is not my idea of fun.

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#12

I missed this comment but, forsure i will record the data this 2nd go

#13

@Herikles I’ve just done a 100 loot boxes opening and this it is what I got.

Blue - 182/300 (60.7%)
Purple - 85/300 (28.3%)
Pink - 30/300 (10%)
Red - 2/300 (0.7%)
Yellow 0/300 (0%)

So as you can see I got very unlucky with getting the really good items (red and yellow) but I tend to find that at certain times of the day I would get a higher chance to getting red (not sure about yellow) than other times. I started opening these at 8pm AEST, so i’m going to see if what the chances are if I open them at a different time of day.

#14

I got 2 yellows in the first 100 lootboxes. I really don’t understand the drop rates

#15

If you want this for your data I opened 234 crates and got 4 reds 0 yellows. Didnt count the blue or purple lol

#16

Thanks! I’ll copy it into the main post if that’s fine?

#17

I am nearly at 300k when I achieve this amount I am spend it all on crates and record my findings. Will buy lockers till i have no money even after the money from dups. Will record final number and everything.

#18

I have 200 crates waiting. Hit me up, I could broadcast. Feel free to record drops.

PSN : yama8bigdog

#19

Hey there! I’m on PC and the crossplay invites are broken it seems
I’d really appreciate it if you could do a counter yourself (i used https://tallycounterstore.com/online-counter) however you could also stream over discord and I record it and do the maths etc

#20

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I think I got lucky, no trophies unfortunately but getting 2 mythics in one crate Is the luckiest I’ve been in this game.

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